The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

A Critic’s Meta Review: 4/5

The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a philosophical treatment of Taleb’s research on highly improbable, high-impact events. These events, which Taleb calls “Black Swans,” are so improbable that they are unpredictable. However, pundits and scholars are often inclined to fit such extreme events into a causal narrative after the fact, in order to make history appear more organized.

In fact, predictive models rely on data from the past, and this past data biases predictive models against…